Guide Science 6 min read

The closest simple dew-point formulas stay within 0.07 °C of a reference calculation

Seven published sets of Magnus coefficients, run against a reference built from the IAPWS equation, give dew points that agree to a few hundredths of a degree on tropical air. A one-point error in relative humidity moves the answer about ten times as far.

Nadia Rahim
Data & Statistics Analyst
Published 7 Nov 2026, 6:31 PM (SGT)
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Blades of green grass beaded with dew drops, the background soft in morning light. Blades of green grass beaded with dew drops, the background soft in morning light. Photo by Johannes Plenio on Pexels
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The dew point is the temperature air must cool to before its water vapour saturates, and most calculators take it from a Magnus formula with three fitted numbers. We checked seven published sets of those numbers against a reference built from IAPWS above freezing and from Wexler's and Sonntag's formulations below it. Wherever temperature and dew point both lay between −40 and 50 °C, Alduchov and Eskridge's pair (17.625, 243.04) stayed within 0.054 °C. Sonntag's 1990 pair and Alduchov's 1988 pair stayed within 0.07 °C. On Singapore-like air every set agreed to 0.03 °C. One point of relative humidity moved the answer 0.18 to 0.30 °C. Alduchov and Eskridge made the qualitative point in 1997, writing that the errors they discuss are much less than hygrometers' observational errors; Lawrence's 2005 paper is earlier work on the same conversion. The figures above, in degrees and for tropical air, are our own.

Three published pairs stay within a sliver of the reference

A Magnus formula gives saturation vapour pressure as a·exp(b·T/(c + T)), with T in °C. For the dew point, set the actual vapour pressure, RH/100 times that value, equal to the same function at a lower temperature. The prefactor divides out: with γ = ln(RH/100) + b·T/(c + T), Td = c·γ/(b − γ). Whether a set starts from 6.1094, 6.112 or 6.11 hPa, only b and c reach the dew point.

Our sweep put the largest vapour-pressure error of Alduchov and Eskridge's pair at 0.375%, at −40 °C, consistent with the maximum under 0.384% their OSTI report of 1 November 1997 gives. Sonntag's peaked at 0.313%, at 28 °C. Yet over 15,995 grid points neither strayed past 0.07 °C in dew point, because part of each error cancels when the same curve is read at both T and Td. The report credits the form to Magnus in 1844, and its Table II prints six earlier sets; we ran those and the report's own pair.

Tetens's 1930 pair towers over the others at very dry points

SetLargest gap, °C
Alduchov and Eskridge (1996)0.054
Alduchov (1988)0.065
Sonntag (1990)0.069
Matveev (1967)0.11
Buck-1 (1981)0.14
Abbott and Tabony (1985)0.23
Tetens (1930)0.31

We computed these gaps on the same grid. Tetens's worst case is 6.5 °C at 2% humidity; Buck-1's is −3 °C at 4%. Tetens's pair is 3.2% out in vapour pressure at −40 °C and only 0.31 °C out in dew point at its worst.

Between 22 and 35 °C, at 40 to 100% humidity, the seven sets never differ by more than 0.0275 °C, under a third of a display rounded to 0.1°.

A one-point humidity error outweighs any choice of coefficients

A one-point change in relative humidity moves the dew point by 0.184 °C at 25 °C and 90%, rising to 0.302 °C at 34 °C and 55%. A 0.1 °C change in air temperature moves it by 0.09 to 0.10 °C. These figures show what an input error does to the answer; they say nothing about how well any sensor reads.

The dew point calculator on this site uses Alduchov and Eskridge's pair. Code committed on 7 November 2026 makes it print that sensitivity and a five-set comparison beside each result. Enter 30 °C and 70%: it gives 23.9 °C, the five sets span 0.010 °C, and one point of humidity is worth about 0.24 °C. Before that commit it stated its accuracy as a few tenths of a degree, accepted any temperature (at −243.04 °C it printed "NaN"), and labelled every dew point of 24 °C or more "Severe, dangerous", a band no source we opened supports.

Frost point overtops dew point once the air is below freezing

Below 0 °C a Magnus formula for water gives the dew point over supercooled water. Cooled air reaches saturation over ice first, so frost forms at the frost point, which is warmer. Alduchov and Eskridge report a 1966 WMO recommendation to calculate humidity over water at negative temperatures, the convention assumed here.

Their report also gives an ice formula, 6.1121·exp(22.587·t/(273.86 + t)), for −80 to 0 °C, with a maximum relative error under 0.213%. With it, we found a frost point of −11.39 °C for air at −10 °C and 80%, 1.41 °C above the dew point. The gap grows with the cold, from 0.73 °C at −5 °C and 90% to 3.23 °C at −30 °C and 60%. The ice pair in WMO's Guide to Instruments and Methods of Observation (WMO-No. 8, 2023 edition), as WMO training material quotes it, lands within 0.02 °C of these.

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Changi's monthly-mean air shrinks each month's swings to a single reading

NEA publishes Changi Climate Station's monthly mean temperature and relative humidity from January 1982 to September 2026, 537 months. Each month's pair gives the dew point of the monthly-mean air, which differs from a mean dew point because the formula is non-linear; we did not measure that difference. It runs from 22.09 °C (December 2016) to 26.07 °C (May 1998).

PeriodMonthsMean T, °CMean RH, %Dew point, °C
1982–19899627.1983.2524.09
1990–199912027.6582.9824.49
2000–200912027.7483.7324.73
2010–201912027.9580.2924.21
2020–20268128.1478.6824.07

The dew-point column averages each period's monthly figures. While the mean temperature rose 0.95 °C and mean humidity fell 4.6 points between the first and last periods, the resulting dew point barely changed, ending 0.02 °C lower after a peak of 24.73 °C in the 2000s. Much of the humidity fall came quickly: our annual means of NEA's figures go from 81.7% in 2013 to 76.0% in 2016, and since then only 2017 (82.6%) has topped 81%. We do not know whether the station or its sensor changed, and we ran no trend test. Without 2026's nine months the last row reads 28.08 °C and 78.53%.

All 537 figures are above 65 °F (18.3 °C), the "becoming oppressive" top band of the La Crosse office's summer guide from the US National Weather Service. A separate guide, why relative humidity means nothing without a temperature, takes up what a finer scale would tell a Singapore reader.

IAPWS and NEA's open series keep the check small enough to repeat

The reference above freezing is equation (1) of the IAPWS Revised Supplementary Release on Saturation Properties of Ordinary Water Substance (1992), credited to W. Wagner and A. Pruß. It stops at the triple point, 0.01 °C, where a correct implementation returns the release's 611.657 Pa. Below that we averaged Wexler's 1976 and Sonntag's 1990 formulations over supercooled water, both printed in the OSTI report. Bisection solves for the reference dew point.

The Changi figures come from two small files, Surface Air Temperature - Monthly Mean and Relative Humidity - Monthly Mean. Contains information from Surface Air Temperature - Monthly Mean accessed on 7 November 2026 from data.gov.sg which is made available under the terms of the Singapore Open Data Licence version 1.0 https://data.gov.sg/open-data-licence. Contains information from Relative Humidity - Monthly Mean accessed on 7 November 2026 from data.gov.sg which is made available under the terms of the Singapore Open Data Licence version 1.0 https://data.gov.sg/open-data-licence.

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Nadia Rahim
Data & Statistics Analyst

Nadia Rahim covers statistics, data literacy, measurement, and how published numbers get misread for RECATOOLS.

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About this byline Nadia Rahim is a RECATOOLS editorial persona for statistics and data-literacy coverage. Articles are produced and reviewed under RECATOOLS editorial supervision.

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